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For courses in Decision Making and Engineering.

 

The Fundamentals of Analyzing and Making Decisions

Foundations of Decision Analysis is a groundbreaking text that explores the art of decision making, both in life and in professional settings. By exploring themes such as dealing with uncertainty and understanding the distinction between a decision and its outcome, the First Edition teaches readers to achieve clarity of action in any situation.

 

The book treats decision making as an evolutionary process from a scientific standpoint. Strategic decision-making analysis is presented as a tool to help students understand, discuss, and settle on important life choices. Through this text, readers will understand the specific thought process that occurs behind approaching any decision to make easier and better life choices for themselves.

 

• Sales Rank: #184590 in Books
• Brand: Howard, Ronald A./ Abbas, Ali E.
• Published on: 2015-01-31
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 9.20" h x 1.30" w x 7.30" l, .0 pounds
• Binding: Hardcover
• 832 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

15 of 15 people found the following review helpful.
The most authoritative Decision Analysis book
By Roberto Ley-Borras
The core decision analysis community had been waiting for this book for many years. Amazon ran out of stock the day that they mailed the book to those who pre-ordered it. These comments are for readers who are interested in decision analysis but may be not that familiar with the authors or the book background. The list of its forty chapters is included at the end of these comments.

Ronald Howard is a key founder of the discipline and his writing, teaching and application of decision analysis has shaped the discipline. In addition, he is a most clear, logical and even fun to read writer. Ali Abbas is a major decision analysis scholar and innovator, and the Director of CREATE at USC.

This book is the outgrowth of the course notes that Ronald Howard developed and used for teaching decision analysis at Stanford over more than forty year. It is great that "the manuscript" is now published in an extended and enriched version.

The forty chapters of the book cover a wide range of interrelated concepts and techniques. A subset of the chapters was designed to be understood by a general audience. The book includes many other chapters that go deep into the underpinnings of the discipline. The book is written as a textbook but it is also a reference book.

The book uses simple examples carefully designed to learn a lot from them and logically builds a network of useful concepts from the "five rules of actional thought" (Howard's axiomatic basis for the discipline.) It includes a few exercises at the end of each chapter but it does not include a bibliography.

Amazon does not include (at this time) the list of chapters or the recommendations by the authors for different types of readers, but you can see them at the Pearson's sites that will be distributing the paperback Global Edition. For example at http://www.pearson.com.au/products/A-C-Abbas-Ali-Howard-Ronald/Foundations-of-Decision-Analysis-Global-Edition/9781292079691?R=9781292079691#
Amazon is currently offering only the hardcover edition by Pearson (even if Amazon says it is by Prentice-Hall).

This is a great book for any serious student of decision analysis and also for those who want to learn it rigorously for the first time.

Roberto Ley-Borrás

For quick reference I am including the list of chapters and recommendations.

Part 1 Defining a Good Decision
Chapter 1: Introduction to Quality Decision Making
Chapter 2: Experiencing a Decision

Part 2 Clear Thinking and Characterization
Chapter 3: Clarifying Values
Chapter 4: Precise Decision Language
Chapter 5: Possibilities
Chapter 6: Handling Uncertainty
Chapter 7: Relevance

Part 3 Making any Decision
Chapter 8: Rules of Actional Thought
Chapter 9: The Party Problem
Chapter 10: Using a Value Measure

Part 4 Building on the Rules
Chapter 11: Risk Attitude
Chapter 12: Sensitivity Analysis
Chapter 13: Basic Information Gathering
Chapter 14: Decision Diagrams

Part 5 Characterizing What you Know
Chapter 15: Encoding a Probability Distribution on a Measure
Chapter 16: From Phenomenon to Assessment

Part 6 Framing a Decision
Chapter 17: Framing a Decision

Part 7 Advanced Information Gathering
Chapter 18: Valuing Information from Multiple Sources
Chapter 19: Options
Chapter 20: Detectors with Multiple Indications
Chapter 21: Decisions with Influences

Part 8 Characterizing What You Want
Chapter 22: The Logarithmic u-Curve
Chapter 23: The Linear Risk Tolerance u-Curve
Chapter 24: Approximate Expressions for the Certain
Chapter 25: Deterministic and Probabilistic Dominance
Chapter 26: Decisions with Multiple Attributes (1)–Ordering Prospects with Preference and Value Functions
Chapter 27: Decisions with Multiple Attributes (2)–Value Functions for Investment Cash Flows: Time Preference
Chapter 28: Decisions with Multiple Attributes (3)–Preference Equivalent Probabilities Over Value

Part 9 Some Practical Extensions
Chapter 29: Betting on Disparate Belief
Chapter 30: Learning from Experimentation
Chapter 31: Auctions and Bidding
Chapter 32: Evaluating, Scaling, and Sharing Uncertain Deals
Chapter 33: Making Risky Decisions
Chapter 34: Decisions with a High Probability of Death

Part 10 Computing Decision Problems
Chapter 35: Discretizing Continuous Probability Distributions
Chapter 36: Solving Decision Problems by Simulation

Part 11 Professional Decisions
Chapter 37: The Decision Analysis Cycle
Chapter 38: Topics in Organizational Decision Making
Chapter 39: Coordinating the Decision Making of Large Groups

Part 12 Ethical Considerations
Chapter 40: Decisions and Ethics

Features & benefits
Foundations of Decision Analysis contains the following features to facilitate learning:

An easy to read text accessible by all audiences
• The book approaches the process of decision making from a mathematical standpoint, but many of its chapters steer clear of complex equations so basic fundamentals can be easily understood by a general audience.
o Chapters 1-17 introduce foundations of decision analysis without mathematical or computational emphasis. Topics include characterizing a decision, the rules of actional thought, u-curves, sensitivity analysis, probability encoding, and framing.
o Chapter 26 discusses multi-attribute decision problems with no uncertainty to prepare readers to approach these issues in real life when uncertainty is present.
o Chapter 29 teachers readers to make decisions based on differing beliefs using rules of probability.
o Chapter 33 explores decisions that involve a small probability of death.
o Chapters and 37-39 applies the decision analysis approach to large group settings.
o Chapter 40 discusses ethical consideration in decision making.
• Readers with more mathematical and computational preparation can benefit from the latter half of the book after understanding basic fundamentals presented in chapters 1-17.
o Chapters 18-25 discuss advanced information gathering from multiple sources, the concept of creating operations in our daily lives, u-curves that describe risk aversion, using approximate formulas for valuing deals, and the concept of probabilistic dominance relations to facilitate the best alternative.
o Chapters 27 and 28 uses a value function for cash flows to determine and explain multi-attribute problems with uncertainty.
o Chapter 30 teaches students to update probability after observing the results of an experiment.
o Chapter 31 explores using the basic concepts for decision analysis to determine the best bid at the value of bidding opportunity at a variety of auction types.
o Chapter 32 presents the concepts of risk scaling and sharing, exploring how decision makers can determine the best portion of an investment, how a partnership can share an investment, and how to establish the risk tolerance of a partnership.
o Chapter 34 analyzes situations in which the decision maker is exposed to a high probability of death.
o Chapters 35 and 36 teach students to solve decision making problems mathematically by using simulation and discretization.
o Numerical problems are exposed in tabular format to help facilitate completion.
The “Decision Analysis Core Concepts Map” is a pedagogical feature that helps students understand major concepts
• Provides a summary of major concepts that students can use as a reference of major points to grasp in each chapter.
• Concepts are presented in chronological order to make for an easy flow of understanding key information.
• Arrows are used between related concepts to show students what they must understand before approaching the next topic.
A text that teaches by real world example
• Chapter 37 presents a case study that exemplifies the decision making tools presented throughout the book in a real life setting.

11 of 11 people found the following review helpful.
Ron and Ali have done a masterful job of creating ...
By Carl S. Spetzler
Ron and Ali have done a masterful job of creating the textbook that accompanies the course that has changed many people. Again and again, I hear from the students that have taken the course: "This course has changed my life. I will never look at decisions that same way again." Thanks.

5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
It is finally here. Thank you, Ron. ...
By Stephen Barrager
It is finally here. Thank you, Ron. Thank you, Ali. This is truly an important book. It captures not only the technical foundations of decision analysis, it captures Professor Howard's expertise in teaching the material. He knows how to make ideas simple and clear. I predict the book will become a classic. I hope students world wide will be able to afford it.

See all 8 customer reviews...

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> Download NATEF Correlated Task Sheets for Automotive Technology, by James D. Halderman

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The Pearson NATEF correlated task sheets, all written by James Halderman, are designed to provide guidelines for the student who is performing a task as specified by the National Automotive Technicians Education Foundation (NATEF). The NATEF task sheets cover all of the tasks specified by NATEF for the following areas:

• Engine Repair (A1)
• Automatic Transmissions/Transaxles (A2)
• Manual Drive Trains and Axles (A3)
• Suspension and Steering (A4)
• Brakes (A5)
• Electricity/Electronics (A6)
• Heating and Air Conditioning (A7)
• Engine Performance (A8)

Each task sheets is easy-to-read and contains the following features:

Designated lines for vehicle identification information

Designated line for the name of the student technician

Step-by-step procedure needed to be performed and space for the student o fill in the specified exact procedure for the vehicle being serviced or tested

Most task sheets are illustrated to help bring the topic to life

Includes a grading scale for the instructor to rate the student as to how well the task was performed

A place to record the time on task.

Each Pearson automotive textbook has a NATEF correlation chart in the appendix and on the Pearson website that correlates each task sheets to the 2013 NATEF tasks. Other correlation charts correlate the task sheets to:

• The 2008 NATEF Standards- For programs that are NATEF certified under the 2008-2011 standards.
• The 2012 NATEF Standards - For programs that are NATEF certified under the 2012 standards.
• The 2013 NATEF Standards- for programs that are NATEF certified under the 2013-2017 standards.

• Sales Rank: #396146 in Books
• Published on: 2015-01-18
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 10.80" h x 1.30" w x 9.40" l, 3.76 pounds
• Binding: Spiral-bound
• 960 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Four Stars
By Jayson Wilson
Additional text has good questions to think about while working on a vehicle.

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Standing five feet eight inches tall, Boston Red Sox second baseman Dustin Pedroia is smaller than most Major League Baseball (MLB) players. But his size hasn't held him back. Dustin won the American League (AL) Rookie of the Year award in 2007. He followed that by winning the AL Most Valuable Player (MVP) award in 2008. Even better, Dustin helped the Red Sox win the World Series in 2007 and 2013. Read all about the life of one of baseball's most unlikely stars.

• Sales Rank: #1046247 in Books
• Published on: 2015-01-01
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 9.00" h x 7.00" w x .25" l, .0 pounds
• Binding: Paperback
• 32 pages

About the Author
Jon M. Fishman is an editor, author, and sports fan. He lives in Wisconsin with his wife and three dogs.

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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
This is an exciting look at Dustin Pedroia, one of “baseball’s most unlikely stars” ...
By Deb
For Dustin it was always baseball, baseball, baseball! He had a tiny bat and he “swung that bat at all kinds of things─tin foil, Ping-Pong balls, anything that looked round.” That sort of thing doesn’t go over particularly well in a house so eventually he made his way onto a T-ball league. Dustin’s coach was none other than his mother, Debbie. Her height never stopped her from playing sports and it wasn’t going to stop her son either. Dustin’s father spent a lot of time teaching Dustin and his brother Brett the basics of the game. He also imparted the lesson that “being able to catch and throw a ball was just as important as batting.” It looked like Dustin learned that lesson well.

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AMAZING ATHLETES:

Clayton Kershaw
Andrew McCutchen
Tim Howard
David Ortiz
Dustin Perdroia
Mikaela Shiffrin

This book courtesy of the publisher.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Four Stars
By Tessie
Great book for the sports minded Boston fan.

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• Plus, a Parent Guide with quick tips to help you help your child soar as a new reader. For use with .

• Sales Rank: #1260863 in Books
• Color: Level A
• Brand: Scholastic Teaching Resources
• Published on: 2015-01-01
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 2.80" h x 6.80" w x 6.80" l, 2.08 pounds
• Binding: Paperback

Features

• Fantastic reading series geared to hook students young
• Each set includes 20 easy readers, reward stickers and parent's guide
• Set A and Set B have an additional 10 sight word readers
• Set C has 10 just-right readers and 10 next-step readers
• Each set has 40 full-color books which will keep younger readers fully engaged and learning

Most helpful customer reviews

8 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
Great! & value for money
By Yuki
Great starter readers & value for money.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Nice assortment of level C readers.
By TwinsmommaT
These are great little 5"x5" beginner books! Just like my kindergarteners use for guided reading at school. Each book is 8 pages with one sentence a page and full color pictures. We choose 3 a night for my kindergarteners to read aloud and with 40 little books they enjoy having a variety to choose from. I also like they come in a box to keep them together for easy storage.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Great beginning books to start reading with!
By Heather Wilson
Fantastic beginning books for a Pre-K student. We read 1-2 books a night and she is definitely developing her sight words. Pictures tied into the sentences help her figure out the words to read as well. Love the set.

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See the golden age of racing through hundreds of famed motorsports photographer Louis Klemantaski's greatest images, including many that have never been previously published.

The next best thing to attending a race in person is the opportunity to relive it through high-quality photography. Most images merely document the event--rare are those photographs that capture the event. These are the photos that fans turn to again and again. Louis Klemantaski inserted himself into the action - whether that meant standing just off-course in a corner, roaming the paddock and infield, or riding shotgun in a Mille Miglia race car. In the process, he captured some of the most iconic images in motorsports, preserving these exciting events for all time.

Louis Klemantaski is one of history's greatest motorsports photographers. The immediacy and excitement his images evoke are unsurpassed. He worked during what is often considered racing's golden era, that period immediately just prior to WWII through the early 1970s when the sport was still the province of passion and daring, before huge budgets and massive sponsorship forever changed its tenor. Klemantaski's subjects spanned road racing, Grand Prix, and F1 competition.

Klemantaski: Master Motorsports Photographer is the only book in print devoted to the photographer's full body of work. Hundreds of the best Klemantaski images have been collected to provide the only opportunity to own and enjoy his key work in a single volume. No racing or photography fan will want to miss this book!

• Sales Rank: #635240 in Books
• Published on: 2015-01-06
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 10.13" h x 1.00" w x 12.50" l, .0 pounds
• Binding: Hardcover
• 272 pages

Review

"This will become one of the most important motorsports history volumes released this year, guaranteed. There's not a single dud in the collection. It's priceless." - Hemmings Motor News

"This book is going to be read, reread, savored, and returned to again and again." - Victory Lane

"Klemantaski: Master Motorsports Photographer is a real masterpiece, capturing the essence of magnificent, if long lost, venues, the range of fascinating drivers from around the world that made motorsport history, and the evolution of intriguing race cars." - Prancing Horse, Ferrari Club of North America

"Klemantaski: Master Motorsports Photographer by Paul Parker has got to be one of the most gorgeous books I have seen in a long time. This book is great for racing fans- especially historic racing fans as well as photographers." - BadGroove.com

"...the most important aspect of this book is that it shows scenes and settings that thee and me will never see for real. The Mille Migliapictures alone are worth the $75.00 for this large, 272-page hardback." - Racer.com / Sports Car Club of America

"...a handsome volume of 272 pages and 350 stunning photographs." - Examiner.com

"Klemantaski Master Motorsports Photographer, like a genuine archive, is filled with documentation of a man's life's work and is aimed squarely at those who appreciate it. And unquestionably, that's where it delivers." - TheNewsWheel.com

"For more than 20 years, Louis Klemantaski photographed some of the most famous of European racers competing at the highest levels of motorsports and as a result of his work came to know the race teams, their families, and others associated with European motorsport intimately. Paul Parker's recently released book, Klemantaski: Master Motorsports Photographer, presents a fair amount of those decades' worth of racing photos, but it also shows the humor and conviction and tragedy behind the sport, all thanks to Klemantaski's deep passion and involvement in it." - Hemmings Motor News Blog

"There were very few (photograhers) who stood out because they had what no drugstore photographer could buy â?? an eye. And one who had it along with technical knowledge of film, shutter speeds and f-stops was Louis Klemantaski. This is the only book in print devoted to the Klemantaski's full body of work and many of his best images are included, beautifully printed in landscape format." - Vintage Motorsport

"Posted next to Klemantaski's outstanding and unforgettable images, Parker's informative and well researched text and captions propels this book into (as Klemantaski himself might have said), "another class entirely". If I had but one book to explain to a neophyte what racing was all about in the Twentieth Century, there could be few better choices than Master Motorsports Photographer Klemantaski." - VeloceToday.com

"Through the 272-pages, it is evident that Klemantaski did more than simply spectate â?? he was a fixture. At Grand Prix events, Le Mans and the Mille Miglia, amongst others, from the mid 1930s onward till his retirement, his eye never left him. Klemantaski captured all the moments in racing - the seemingly ordinary moments, through the ones that are truly visceral during the era of racing giants. No racing or photography fan will want to miss this book." - Petrolicious.com

About the Author

Paul Parker is a UK-based author specializing in historic motor racing and motorsport photography. He has published books with Haynes, Karl Ludvigsen, and Palawan Press. Paul also works regularly with top UK magazines including Octane, Classic and Sports Car, Autosport, and Motorsport.

The Klemantaski Collection consists of over 500,000 motor racing and related automotive photographs and is one of the largest and most varied libraries of its kind anywhere in the world. It includes all of the racing images taken by famed motorsports photographer Louis Klemantaski during his long and active career from 1936-1974. There are some 60,000 Klemantaski images in the Collection. More information about the collection is available at http://www.klemcoll.com/.

Most helpful customer reviews

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Amazing Photography- Great Book!
By Stephanie W.
If you are a motorsports fan of any kind, this is a book you need to have on your bookshelf. I was astonished at the quality of the photographs featured by Louis Klemantaski. Nearly every one of the 272 pages contains crisp clear images dating from the 1930's to the late 1960's. This book does a wonderful job of pulling Klemantaski's images together of racing's golden age. I highly recommend this to any racing fanatic or anyone interested in racing history and pictures. This book was well shipped and wrapped in plastic, reassuring that I was the first to open it!
I received this book in exchange for an honest review. Regardless, all opinions are my own.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Probibly the finest collection of European racing images from the mid '30s ...
By wade
Keemantaski's pictures were crisp and evocative and this book does them justice.
Often the subject of the picture is secondary to the supporting cast.Probibly the finest collection of European racing images from the mid '30s to the late '60s found in one book.
The short commentary on most pages and random personal photographs add to its flavor. Clearly the sport is far more then just the cars. The human is not ignored by Klenantaski.
This is not just a very good book about racing but a very good book by any standards.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
First of all let me say that this is a great book. A great book
By Martin Rudow
Book Review
Klemantaski: Master Motorsports Photographer
We’ve seen several reviews of the new book, Klemantaski: Master Motorsports Photographer. As far as we are concerned, none of them we've seen really do the book justice.

First of all let me say that this is a great book. A great book. Anyone even slightly familiar with the history of racing in the mid-century has heard of Louis Klemantaski, arguably the most artistic photographer of the continental road racing scene in those years. And in those years photographers had incredible access to the track, certainly dangerous but able to produce wonderful photos.
As the press release says, in the book’s handsomely packaged 272 pages you will certainly “see the golden age of racing through hundreds of famed motorsports photographer Louis Klemantaski's greatest images, including many that have never been previously published.”
And there is more. To me, what makes this book really stand out are the captions and accompanying text. Although brief and never taking anything away from the photographs themselves, the beautifully written captions alone are worth the price of admission. Peter Parker, a UK-based author, provides wonderful information about each photo and puts it in context of what was going on at the time. It’s a great package and we cannot recommend this book highly enough.

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• Sales Rank: #362817 in Books
• Published on: 2015-01-05
• Original language: English
• Dimensions: 9.25" h x 7.50" w x 1.00" l, .0 pounds
• Binding: Hardcover
• 480 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
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A Textbook For Would Be Engineers
By benjamin bannister
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• Sales Rank: #570957 in Books
• Published on: 2015-01-28
• Original language: English
• Number of items: 1
• Dimensions: 8.30" h x .60" w x 9.40" l, .0 pounds
• Binding: Hardcover
• 96 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

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